东北夏季降水的年代际特征及环流变化   总被引：8，自引：0，他引：8  

丁婷  陈丽娟  崔大海 《高原气象》2015,34(1)

利用1961-2012年中国东北地区91个气象站逐月降水资料、NCEP/NCAR再分析资料和海温资料,以及经验正交函数分解EOF、显著性检验等方法,分析了东北地区夏季降水的时空分布特征、年代际变化特征及相应的环流分布型变化,探讨了不同年代际背景下东北夏季降水年际变化的环流差异。结果表明,东北夏季降水存在明显的年代际变化特征,在1961 1983年(P1)期间降水偏少,19841998年(P2)期间降水偏多,1999年之后(P3)又进入偏少时段。P2与P1时段相比,东北气旋式环流和蒙古反气旋式环流异常增强,而西北太平洋副热带地区为气旋式环流异常,来自西北太平洋偏东水汽输送贡献明显。P3与P2时段相比,东北冷涡活动偏弱,东北地区东部在850 h Pa为偏北风异常,偏南水汽输送有所减弱。进一步分析证实,北太平洋年代际振荡(PDO)对于东北地区夏季降水及相关环流型的年代际变化有重要的调制作用。P1与P3同为降水偏少时段,PDO都处于负位相,东北地区反气旋式环流都偏强;然而P1时段的多雨年,水汽输送主要来自较强的夏季风偏南气流;P3时段的多雨年,水汽输送可能主要来自西北太平洋地区。  相似文献   

CORRELATION ANALYSIS OF THE WESTERN PACIFIC SUBTROPICAL HIGH AND EASTERN ASIAN SUMMER MONSOON SYSTEM BASED ON FUZZY SYSTEMS AND DYNAMICAL MODEL INVERSION FORECAST     

洪梅  张韧  阎恒乾  葛晶晶 《热带气象学报(英文版)》2015,21(S1):34-45

Based on the adaptive network fuzzy inference system (ANFIS), methods to filter out the noise of impact factors from the main signal are discussed. Focusing on the abnormal weather conditions in 2010, we use the delay-relevant method to analyze the five members of the summer monsoon system that had the largest effect on the subtropical high anomalies from the observational data. ANFIS is suitable for research and simulation of subtropical highs that are difficult to describe accurately with dynamics, allowing the effect of five factors on the subtropical high anomalies to be examined. Our results show that the Mascarene cold high, the Indian monsoon latent heat flux, and the South China Sea monsoon trough had the largest effect on the subtropical high anomalies. Diagnostic analysis, with genetic algorithms (GA) and dynamical reconstruction theory, reconstructed the nonlinear dynamical model of the subtropical high and its main factors objectively and accurately from the sequence of observations in 2010. Furthermore, a dynamically extended forecast experiment is performed. The forecasts for the subtropical high area index, the Mascarene cold high index, the Indian monsoon latent heat flux, and the South China Sea monsoon trough index all show a strong short-term effect over less than 25 days. The forecasting trend is accurate, and the error rate is no more than 7%. Our results provide new insight and methods for research on the association between the western Pacific subtropical high and the East Asian summer monsoon system, and for the prediction of the western Pacific subtropical high index.  相似文献   

影响夏季西北太平洋副热带高压年际变率的关键海区及影响机制   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3       下载免费PDF全文

何超  周天军  吴波 《Acta Meteorologica Sinica》2015,73(5):940-951

西北太平洋副热带高压(西太副高)是影响东亚夏季气候的主要环流系统,其年际变率受热带多个海区的海-气相互作用过程的调控。为明确影响夏季西太副高的关键海区及其影响机制,在总结最近十余年来相关研究进展的基础上,归纳出影响夏季西太副高年际变率的5个关键海区,包括赤道中东太平洋、热带印度洋、副热带西北太平洋、海洋大陆附近海区以及热带大西洋。阐述了这5个关键海区的海温异常影响西太副高年际变率的机制,并探讨了5个关键海区海温异常的形成机制。围绕夏季西太副高的年际变率,回顾了当前气候模式的模拟和预测研究的现状。最后,提出了本领域亟待解决的关键科学问题,展望未来可能的研究热点。  相似文献   

An assessment of the predictability of the East Asian Subtropical Westerly Jet based on TIGGE data   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Baiquan Zhou  Ruoyun Niu  Panmao Zhai 《大气科学进展》2015,32(3):401-412

The predictability of the position, spatial coverage and intensity of the East Asian subtropical westerly jet(EASWJ) in the summers of 2010 to 2012 was examined for ensemble prediction systems(EPSs) from four representative TIGGE centers,including the ECMWF, the NCEP, the CMA, and the JMA. Results showed that each EPS predicted all EASWJ properties well, while the levels of skill of all EPSs declined as the lead time extended. Overall, improvements from the control to the ensemble mean forecasts for predicting the EASWJ were apparent. For the deterministic forecasts of all EPSs, the prediction of the average axis was better than the prediction of the spatial coverage and intensity of the EASWJ. ECMWF performed best, with a lead of approximately 0.5–1 day in predictability over the second-best EPS for all EASWJ properties throughout the forecast range. For probabilistic forecasts, differences in skills among the different EPSs were more evident in the earlier part of the forecast for the EASWJ axis and spatial coverage, while they departed obviously throughout the forecast range for the intensity. ECMWF led JMA by about 0.5–1 day for the EASWJ axis, and by about 1–2 days for the spatial coverage and intensity at almost all lead times. The largest lead of ECMWF over the relatively worse EPSs, such as NCEP and CMA, was approximately 3–4 days for all EASWJ properties. In summary, ECMWF showed the highest level of skill for predicting the EASWJ, followed by JMA.  相似文献   

机载LiDAR生成亚热带森林林下DTM的地面误差分析     

武晓天  李慧姝  阮芳  冯皓宁  陈明强  王长委  王斌 《测绘通报》2021,(11):101-105

目前LiDAR技术已经成为DTM的主要生产方法。地面误差对LiDAR生成DTM的精度影响比较明显,特别是由于亚热带森林植被覆盖区LiDAR激光点云少,生成的DTM更复杂,需要分析地面误差对LiDAR生成林下DTM的精度影响。本文以华南农业大学增城教学科研基地为研究对象,从森林郁闭度和坡度两个方面探讨了地面误差对机载LiDAR数据生成林下DTM精度的影响。研究结果发现高程误差会随郁闭度的增大而增大;而随坡度变化趋势不明显,但是坡度为15°时成为误差的分水岭,其前后误差差异比较明显。总体而言,郁闭度的影响更为明显。  相似文献   

长江口外海域表层沉积物微量元素地球化学特征   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

蓝先洪  张志殉  李日辉  王中波  陈晓辉  侯方辉 《现代地质》2011,25(6)

对采自长江口外海域187个表层沉积物的25个微量元素含量进行了标准差系数、相关分析及R型因子分析,探讨了微量元素的来源和分布特征。长江口外海域沉积物微量元素Li、V、Cr、Co、Ni、Ga、Cu、Zn、Th和Rb分布基本相似;Sr分布与Li、Cu、Pb、Zn、Th和Rb相反;研究区东南部Sr分布与生物作用有明显关系;Cd和Mo分布与粒度之间的相关性较差,主要受氧化还原环境的控制;Zr分布反映了长江物源的影响。相关分析和R型因子分析结果表明,沉积作用、粒度控制效应、海洋生物作用、氧化还原环境和源区地质背景等对长江口外海域表层沉积物中微量元素分布起着主要控制作用。  相似文献   

上海地学研究：从长江口到深海——中国科学院院士汪品先教授接受本刊专访     

《上海国土资源》2011,32(3):1-6

2011年8月30日下午,本刊主编、上海市地质调查研究院总工程师严学新教授,本刊编辑部主任、上海市地质调查研究院总工程师办公室副主任龚士良教授,在同济大学海洋与地球科学学院杨守业教授的陪同下,拜访了中国科学院院士、同济大学海洋与地球科学学院汪品先教授,并作了专题访谈。  相似文献   

夏季长江口东北部上升流海域的生态环境特征   总被引：5，自引：1，他引：4  

韦钦胜  臧家业  战闰  李瑞香 《海洋与湖沼》2011,42(6):899-905

基于2006年7月18—23日对长江口东北部海域的大面调查,重点分析和探讨了长江口东北部海域的上升流现象及生态环境特征。结果显示：（1）大约在122°—123°E,32.3—33.7°N的海域范围内存在着较为明显的下层高盐冷水抬升的现象。（2）伴随着冷水的上升运动,对DO、营养盐以及Chl.a的平面和断面分布均存在一定...  相似文献   

近20年来长江口表层悬沙分布的遥感监测     

毕世普  胡刚  何拥军  张勇 《海洋地质与第四纪地质》2011,(5):17-24

利用近20年来长江口地区的美国陆地卫星Landsat TM和ETM影像反演得到了长江口海区表层悬沙分布遥感解译系列图,讨论了长江口表层悬沙的空间分布特征、潮汐变化对泥沙分布的影响、三峡工程对泥沙分布的影响及河口径流量和输沙量对泥沙分布的影响等;描述了长江口海区洪枯季的表层悬沙扩散外界和高浑浊水域范围的变化趋势,并分析了...  相似文献   

Origin and biochemical cycling of particulate nitrogen in the Mandovi estuary   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

Loreta Fernandes 《Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science》2011,94(3):291-298

Mandovi estuary is a tropical estuary strongly influenced by the southwest monsoon. In order to understand, sources and fate of particulate organic nitrogen, suspended particulate matter (SPM) collected from various locations, was analyzed for particulate organic carbon (POC) and particulate organic nitrogen (PON), δ¹³C_POC, total hydrolysable amino acid enantiomers (l- and d- amino acids) concentration and composition. δ¹³C_POC values were depleted (−32 to −25‰) during the monsoon and enriched (−29.6 to −21‰) in the pre-monsoon season implying that OM was derived from terrestrial and marine sources during the former and latter season, respectively. The biological indicators such as C/N ratio, d-amino acids, THAA yields and degradation indices (DI) indicate that the particulate organic matter (POM) was relatively more degraded during the monsoon season. Conversely, during the pre-monsoon, the biological indicators indicated the presence of relatively fresh and labile POM derived from autochthonous sources. Amino acids such as alanine, aspartic acid, leucine, serine, arginine, and threonine in monsoon and glutamic acid, glycine, valine, lysine, and isoleucine in pre-monsoon were relatively abundant. Presence of bacterial biomarker, d-amino acids in the SPM of the estuary during both the seasons signifies important contribution of bacteria to the estuarine detrital ON pool. Based on d-amino acid yields, bacterial OM accounted for 16-34% (23.0 ± 6.7%) of POC and 29-75% (47.9 ± 18.7%) of PON in monsoon, and 30-78% (50.0 ± 15%) of POC and 34-79% (51.2 ± 13.3%) of the PON in pre-monsoon in the estuary. Substantial contribution of bacterial-N to PON indicates nitrogen (N) enrichment on terrestrial POM during the monsoon season. Transport of terrestrial POM enriched with bacterial OM to the coastal waters is expected to influence coastal productivity and ecosystem functioning during the monsoon season.  相似文献